Is This the Market Top? Bull vs Bear Case for Equities Right Now

Traders don’t need to predict — they need to react. Forget the narratives and trade what’s in front of you.

Well, this market feels pretty bipolar right now…

One minute, the US is awash with cash, borrowing costs are collapsing, and AI is about to revolutionise humanity.

The next, we’re wobbling over some minor headline. 🤷🏼‍♂️

Not easy to navigate….

WHICH WAY NOW?

For sport, I decided to research the top 5 bull and bear cases for equities. This is what we have…

🐂 Top 5 Bull Cases

  • AI-driven productivity boom lifting tech and semis
  • Inflation cooling, soft landing increasingly likely
  • Strong earnings from mega-cap leaders
  • Persistent equity inflows from retail and institutions
  • Global liquidity support from China, Japan, and ECB

🐻 Top 5 Bear Cases

  • Valuations stretched, market reliant on a few names
  • Sticky services and wage inflation
  • Rising geopolitical risks (Middle East, China-Taiwan, Trump 2.0)
  • Signs of consumer stress (delinquencies, credit fatigue)
  • CRE and regional bank vulnerabilities still unresolved

All very convincing…

But, as traders, do we really give a f*ck?! 🤷🏼‍♂️

We aren’t here to predict; we are here to make money.

Opinions don’t pay the bills.
Trades do.

So yes, be bullish if the setup calls for it.
Be bearish if the tape says so.
But let price and process guide you, not narratives, noise, or arguments on X.

Be flexible. But have conviction when it’s needed.

And sometimes, the best conviction is to wait… be patient, and stalk your entry.