How Would You Guarantee Trading Failure

Charlie Munger's inversion trick — and how flipping the question can unlock better trading decisions

How Would You Guarantee Trading Failure?

The late Charlie Munger famously said, “All I want to know is where I’m going to die and avoid that…”
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Weird thing to say! But this is a take on one of the most powerful mental models, called “inversion.”
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And it’s something that can be very useful for traders…

INVERSION

So, Charlie Munger had this trick.

Whenever he was stuck on a problem… he’d flip it.

Instead of asking how do I succeed… he’d ask how do I guarantee failure? 

Then he just wouldn’t do that…

And we can use the same thinking in trading to force us to look at things through a different lens.

👉 How would you make sure you never improved as a trader?
Don’t review. Or review so much you never actually take anything from it…

👉 How would you turn a small loss into a big one?
Over-leverage. Stare at the P&L. Trade more actively on choppy days.

👉 How would you guarantee burnout?
Trade a style that doesn’t fit your life. Stay glued to the screen. Never step away.

And the thing is, we know this stuff already, but there’s something unique about a different angle or lens that helps make sense of the solution.

Here’s a short YouTube video explaining the model.

And here’s a link to my latest podcast episode where I dig deeper….

If you feel like you’re banging your head on a brick wall sometimes, this trick might just help the unlock.

Worth a shot anyway 🙂