XTX Trading Strategy Explained: How the Quant Giant Makes Billions

Inside XTX Markets’ machine learning models, order book signals, and high-speed trading edge.

How would you like a £600m tax bill?

Well, that’s exactly what one 45-year-old trader had in 2023.
(Last year he managed to trim it to a mere £202m 😅)

The guy lives in London, runs a trading firm called XTX, and is one of the wealthiest people in the UK.

So… what does he actually trade?

XTX Markets

XTX is a quantitative trading firm, like Citadel or Jane Street, making tiny slivers of profit across millions of trades.

On their site they put it like this:

“We are a leading algorithmic trading firm that uses state-of-the-art machine learning technology to produce price forecasts for over 50,000 financial instruments across equities, fixed income, currencies, commodities, and crypto.”

Source – XTXMarkets

And being the market nerd I am, I wanted to know:

What does an actual trade look like?
(Because, spoiler alert: it ain’t no bull flag on the 1-min Nasdaq 😎)

Turns out their signals are probably a lot about the order book:

📊 Imbalances — bids vs offers at each level
⚡ Quote dynamics — how often prices update
💧 Liquidity shifts — size pulled just before a move
🔥 Sweep patterns — aggressive trades hitting multiple levels (aka momentum ignition I guess)

Then add tick-by-tick patterns like:

➡ Micro-momentum (eg. 5 buy sweeps in a row)
➡ Reversion signatures (“last sweep was overdone, odds of bounce = x%”)
➡ Intraday seasonality (NY open, close, liquidity pockets)

All of that goes into their 25,000 Nvidia AI chips, chewed up in a data centre, and spat out as trades… filled before you or I even open a ticket.

(Bet they made a killing over NVDA earnings yesterday!)

Anyway, it’s not how we trade but I love anything like this…
So, if you want to do some digging for yourself.

> The article that caught my eye was on the FT here.
> But that’s paywalled, so if you don’t get FT I found a similar article here.
> And of course XTX’s website here.