Is This the Nasdaq Top?
Fund Manager Jason Shapiro Thinks So
A daily reversal candle, max long positioning, and a shift in tone—Shapiro lays out his case for a short.
Ed Seykota once said:
“The trend is your friend until the end… where it bends.”
And this market’s been straight up since April.
But yesterday?
Well, we got a gap fill and a fat wick on the daily candle, decent above average volume too.
Could this be the bend?
Well, $200m fund manager Jason Shapiro thinks it might be…
SHORT NASDAQ
Shapiro’s thesis:
Nas dropped despite bullish AI chip news = classic news failure in his eyes.
Nasdaq positioning is max long. When sentiment is stretched and price stalls… red flag. Trapped traders and an already heavy boat.
Bonds, metals, and Bitcoin all sold off.
Strong dollar + weak global bonds = tightening backdrop = trouble. Maybe.
The general vibe changed. Price action looks tired.
And so because of all that. He’s eyeing a short on Nasdaq with a stop above yesterday’s high.
What could be his target if he pulled the trigger?
Late May’s pullback was about a 4% haircut.
Mirror that, and we’re talking about a 900-point drop from highs as a starter…
Fair play if he’s nailed the top to the day.
But what do you reckon?
Top’s in… or just a breather before the next rip higher?
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